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      <title>blog</title>
      <link>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/</link>
      <description>The GlobalSecurity.org SITREP blog provides diverse perspectives on military, security, and related topics. Unlike the website, which sticks to the facts, it is a venue for opinions. If you are a blogger or other writer in search of an audience, toil in obscurity no more.</description>
      <language>en</language>
      <copyright>Copyright 2012</copyright>
      <lastBuildDate>Fri, 10 Feb 2012 18:05:44 -0500</lastBuildDate>
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      <item>
         <title>Okie loons fight the lowly castor plant</title>
         <description>Oklahoma is a place of idiotic whims. This week a Republican legislator moved to outlaw castor seed production. In talking to the local newspaper a bunch of rationalizations bearing no relationship to truth were employed to explain legislation that would ban lowly castor plant agriculture.

</description>
         <link>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/120210828-okie-loons-fight-the-lowly-cas.htm</link>
         <guid>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/120210828-okie-loons-fight-the-lowly-cas.htm</guid>
         <author>George Smith</author>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">General Interest</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Homeland Security</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">WMD</category>
         
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">homeland security</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">idiota</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Oklahoma</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">ricin</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">the fear-based economy</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">the lonely war on castor beans</category>
         
         <pubDate>Fri, 10 Feb 2012 18:05:44 -0500</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>Monetizing the kooks</title>
         <description><![CDATA[Reality television is the perfect place for monetizing kooks. In this case it's National Geographic's <em>Doomsday Preppers</em> series on what I've called End Timers. I caught a commercial and won't be tuning in. (It begins airing tonight.) Topics common to the blog have already shown me all I need to know.]]></description>
         <link>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/120207827-monetizing-the-kooks.htm</link>
         <guid>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/120207827-monetizing-the-kooks.htm</guid>
         <author>George Smith</author>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">General Interest</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">National Security</category>
         
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">apocalypse</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">cyberattack</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">cynicism</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">death cults</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Doomsday Preppers</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">electromagnetic pulse</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">exploiting kooks for the sake of tv entertainment</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">National Geographic</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">power grid</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">preppers</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">ultimate fail</category>
         
         <pubDate>Tue, 07 Feb 2012 12:54:24 -0500</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>So many Doomsdays</title>
         <description>Inundated with weekly national security news on a variety of approaching Doomsdays I&apos;ve occasionally asked, &quot;Which is it to be?&quot; All of them? One? Some? None? How can you tell from reading the usual public testimony of our experts? The answers: (1) You can&apos;t tell; and (2) the future refuses to obey diagnosis. </description>
         <link>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/120204826-so-many-doomsdays.htm</link>
         <guid>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/120204826-so-many-doomsdays.htm</guid>
         <author>George Smith</author>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">General Interest</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Homeland Security</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">National Security</category>
         
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">bog standard</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">cyberattack</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">cybersecurity</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">cyberwar</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">electromagnetic pulse</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">imminent catastrophe</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">myths</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">natsec experts like grains of sand</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">power grid</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">the fear-based economy</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">thought defect</category>
         
         <pubDate>Sat, 04 Feb 2012 12:17:52 -0500</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>Uncle Sam versus castor oil</title>
         <description>Ever since 9/11 the United States has been in a war with castor plants. It has done this by making people believe castor seeds are a deadly horror and putting in jail everyone stupid enough to pound them. The rest of the world has shrugged. It knows we&apos;re nuts.

</description>
         <link>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/120202825-uncle-sam-versus-castor-oil.htm</link>
         <guid>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/120202825-uncle-sam-versus-castor-oil.htm</guid>
         <author>George Smith</author>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">General Interest</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">History</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Homeland Security</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Industry</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">National Security</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">WMD</category>
         
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">castor bean</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">castor oil</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">homeland security</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">idiota</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">old wive&apos;s tales</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">ricin</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">the fear-based economy</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">the mythology of al Qaeda and chem-bio weapons</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">war on terror</category>
         
         <pubDate>Thu, 02 Feb 2012 11:56:17 -0500</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>The Militarization of South Pasadena</title>
         <description>Deserving of a big &quot;Whaaaa?&quot; -- today&apos;s proof that even the smallest local shires of the land, places with no significant history of violent crime or threat try to get into the act. The Los Angeles Times informed yesterday that South Pasadena, generally known for its population of swells, tree-lined streets and swank/genteel bungalow homes had acquired an urban combat vehicle for one dollar, sold off by Burbank, which is trading up through use of about a quarter million in homeland security bucks.</description>
         <link>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/120131824-the-militarization-of-south-pa.htm</link>
         <guid>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/120131824-the-militarization-of-south-pa.htm</guid>
         <author>George Smith</author>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">General Interest</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Land Systems</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">National Security</category>
         
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">grrrr</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">homophobe</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Islam-o-phobe</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Jack Ripper</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Jerry Boykin</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Lenco BearCat</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">machine gun cupola</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Peacekeeper</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">precious bodily fluids</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">testosterone</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">West Point</category>
         
         <pubDate>Tue, 31 Jan 2012 11:47:47 -0500</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>Our Nuclear Forces Must Be Modernized to Remain Credible</title>
         <description>Although the Republican Presidential candidates might be focused on digging up dirt from each others&apos; past, the U.S. ought to be worried about another relic from the past- its nuclear arsenal. &quot;The U.S. is the only nuclear power without a substantial nuclear modernization program,&quot; write Heritage experts Baker Spring and Michaela Bendikova in &quot;Time to Modernize and Revitalize the Nuclear Triad.&quot; Together with reductions under the new START treaty, our aging nuclear force is in desperate need of modernization to remain a credible deterrent. As I have pointed out in previous articles, the Obama administration tries to sound big talking about the need for modernization but has opposed actual legislation at nearly every turn. 


The United States must ensure that its nuclear weapons are safe, secure, and effective. The United States guarantees nuclear security to more than 30 countries all over the world. To that end, it needs to guarantee the credibility of its nuclear weapons to deter would be aggressors. The last U.S. nuclear warheads were tested about 20 years ago. It is impossible to certify their reliability forever. The three delivery systems of the U.S. nuclear triad must be modernized as well. The next U.S. heavy bomber should be immediately certified for nuclear missions, and we must replace our ICBs and SLBMs before they are over 60 and 40 years old respectively. 


	Unfortunately, this Administration&apos;s naïve stance of nuclear zero at all costs seems to trump these much needed modernizations. Spring and Bendikova rightly argue that such a stance &quot;is misguided because a nuclear-free world requires the cooperation of other countries. None of the current nuclear-weapon states share this goal or are willing to cooperate substantially in achieving it. In fact, several actors (e.g., Russia and China) are working against this vision by supplying Iran, North Korea, and other rogue nations with sensitive nuclear technologies.&quot; Since our enemies get a vote, we must act accordingly and revitalize our nuclear triad.
</description>
         <link>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/120131823-our-nuclear-forces-must-be-mod.htm</link>
         <guid>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/120131823-our-nuclear-forces-must-be-mod.htm</guid>
         <author>James Jay Carafano</author>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">National Security</category>
         
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">nuclear deterrence</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">nuclear triad</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">nuclear weapon modernization</category>
         
         <pubDate>Tue, 31 Jan 2012 10:04:27 -0500</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>Democratic Sclerosis and National Strategy</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/edward-corcoran/democratic-sclerosis_b_1190539.html">Democratic sclerosis</a> refers to the tendency of democratic systems to become increasingly encrusted with legacy provisions which inhibit responsiveness to the general welfare and make it increasingly difficult for the government to perform routine tasks.</p>
<p><br>National security is managed at the highest level by the President using the National Security Council to develop a National Security Strategy which serves as the base guidance for protecting national security. The Defense Department inputs to this document, particularly with the regular Quadrennial Defense Review, and based on the National Security Strategy develops the force structure, doctrine, and capabilities necessary to support the strategy. Congress reviews and may critique the National Security Strategy as well as Defense Department priorities embodied in budget requests, and decides what specific force elements to fund. This is a cyclical process, continually reassessing, revising, and adjusting.</p>
<p><br>As detailed by the <a href="http://pnsr.org/data/files/pnsr%20forging%20a%20new%20shield.pdf">Project on National Security Reform</a>, the system has one very basic shortcoming: no where is there any methodical assessment of overall national strategy, a review of the totality of national interests and how to best attain them. The National Security Strategy necessarily focuses on security issues, traditionally military ones, although there has been a recent effort to broaden this perspective, such as including input from the newly developed <a href="http://www.state.gov/s/dmr/qddr/">Quadrennial Diplomacy and Development Review</a> now provided by the State Department. A recent <a href="http://www.defense.gov/news/Defense_Strategic_Guidance.pdf">Strategic Guidance</a> likewise addresses only missions for the armed services.</p>
<p><br>Yet the new millennium is bringing an <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/edward-corcoran/the-emerging-strategic-tr_b_852742.html">epochal shift</a> fundamentally altering the challenges facing the nation. But a broader appreciation of national strategy is only slowly developing with the recognition that the national well being is being steadily undermined by such factors as economic globalization, a developing economic crisis in Europe, an outsized US external debt, the rise of an autocratic but economically vibrant China, and the uncertain impact of global warming. At the same time, continuing economic distress domestically is raising awareness that military security requirements have to compete with other national priorities. Overall, the system is poorly structured to address such fundamental issues. </p>
<p><br>Democratic sclerosis severely undermines the US response. Power politics encourage Congressmen and Senators to think of themselves first, and then of their constituents (critical to their re-election) and only after that of the nation. Gerrymandering helps to maintain officials in their positions, but constituent pressures can be very heavy, especially in reelection years, while the role of money in elections has been intensified. So Congress finds it very difficult to balance national security requirements against a background of vocal, well organized opposition to reductions. There is no better example than the Base Realignment and Closing system. The question of base closures became so divisive and inflammatory that it was necessary to set up a special system for addressing the issue - an independent group develops a comprehensive list which then can only be accepted or rejected, but not modified piecemeal. This has been reasonably effective, though the longer term result is just that constituent pressure has to be applied earlier and in a more indirect fashion. More importantly, this independent evaluation system only applies to one very specific element of defense posture; it has little direct impact on the defense production complex. </p>
<p><br>National security reductions are particularly troublesome because any Defense Department procurement was initially set up to address some specific security risk. Risks rarely disappear and it is often impossible to even prove that any diminution has taken place. So any reduction faces an immediate objection that is a failure to adequately address some specific security risk. The problem is all the more daunting if the proposed reduction is not due to some assessed risk reduction, but rather to reduced prioritization against other national objectives. Groups constantly seek to protect their own interests at the expense of the general public. So, for example, it took a veto threat from the White House to end production of the <a href="http://static.csbaonline.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2009.08.09-F-22-Program-in-Retrospect.pdf">F-22</a> fighter plane. Both the President and the Secretary of Defense said it was not needed, but it affected jobs in some 40 states and so there was a strong lobbying effort for further production.</p>
<p><br>Although it is easy to say that national security is not a jobs program, in reality it is. Any new defense facility is greeted with great enthusiasm, not because of its contribution to some distant national security objective, but because of its impact on local jobs. And any proposed reduction in defense facilities is immediately opposed for the same reason - its impact on local jobs. The military industrial complex and its integral contractors strongly defend their own prerogatives with only lip service to the general welfare. More importantly, this highly organized opposition to change makes any major realignment very difficult, at the very time that such basic realignments are necessary. Abe Lincoln famously said you, &#148;can't fool all the people all the time.&#148; But history shows you can often fool 50% of the people at critical times &#150; seen not long ago with the justifications and projections for the war in Iraq.</p>
<p><br>So national security programs must navigate a political minefield. A major reason for funding programs may simply be to keep jobs alive or companies open, regardless of actual national security needs. Any long term program, or program with uncertain or controversial results, will inevitably be challenged on a partisan basis even if there are no viable alternatives. And for any program, there are inevitably winners and losers, and the loser can challenge results on any number of grounds, initiating both litigation and Congressional reviews which can drag out implementation for considerable periods of time. </p>
<p><br>Of course there is nothing new in groups insisting that the strategic urgency of their particular program necessitates its continuance. What is new is the dramatic shift in the position of the United States vis-a-vis the rest of the world comes at a time when sclerosis is severely clogging the arteries of government. Finding a new <a href="http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/nationalstrategicnarrative.pdf">Strategic  Narrative</a> to set the course of government is important. But even more important is finding a way to unclog the arteries of government.</p>
]]></description>
         <link>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/120130822-democratic-sclerosis-and-natio.htm</link>
         <guid>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/120130822-democratic-sclerosis-and-natio.htm</guid>
         <author>Ed Corcoran</author>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">National Security</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Politics</category>
         
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">defense budget</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">democratic sclerosis</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">national security</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">national strategy</category>
         
         <pubDate>Mon, 30 Jan 2012 19:10:11 -0500</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>Defense cuts to cause boom in bombing paupers</title>
         <description><![CDATA[No one will say it in formal circles: Use of drones outside the US is all about bombing paupers or -- ahem -- <em>the impoverished places of the world</em>, if something less blunt sounding is needed. That's the US strategic plant coupled to the story on budget cuts. It's a strategic triad with two of legs -- drones and special forces -- aimed at going after people who largely cannot defend themselves in any serious way. They're always poorer, weaker, and generally of different color and religion, in desperate regions. And the third leg of the triad -- the Navy -- is aimed at people who definitely can shoot back, the Chinese. But whom we won't get into a war with for the obvious reason that they make all our pipe and wires and telephones and computers and underwear and everything else except drones and most of the kit that the special forces use.]]></description>
         <link>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/120127821-defense-cuts-to-cause-boom-in.htm</link>
         <guid>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/120127821-defense-cuts-to-cause-boom-in.htm</guid>
         <author>George Smith</author>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">General Interest</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">The Forever War</category>
         
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">defense budget</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Eric Olsen</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Global War on Paupers</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">national security</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Predator drone</category>
         
         <pubDate>Fri, 27 Jan 2012 16:57:57 -0500</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>Blinding lasers, pepper spray and electric rays</title>
         <description><![CDATA[The recently released <em>Department of Defense Non-Lethal Weapons Reference Book </em>shows the current listing of mostly useless gadgets, some of which can kill or maim people, currently fielded for the US military. Some have bled into US police forces as a result of the weapons manufacturing boom and national militarization brought on by the forever war on terror. And we know how bombing fear and anxiety worldwide has worked out. Good for share value at the Raytheons!]]></description>
         <link>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/120117820-blinding-lasers-pepper-spray-a.htm</link>
         <guid>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/120117820-blinding-lasers-pepper-spray-a.htm</guid>
         <author>George Smith</author>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">General Interest</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Homeland Security</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">National Security</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">The Forever War</category>
         
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">blinding lasers</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">corporate welfare</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">electric rays</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">kill</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">maim</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">non-lethal weapons</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">ouch</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">pepper spray</category>
         
         <pubDate>Tue, 17 Jan 2012 13:19:08 -0500</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>Secrets from a country that doesn&apos;t exist about stuff that no longer matters </title>
         <description>Back when I still had hope, twenty years ago, I once wrote about a very secretive government agency, the National Reconnaissance Office, for a daily newspaper in the heartland. The NRO operated our spy satellites and I&apos;d discovered (I was not the first) that its head had graduated from the same school I had, Lehigh University in Bethlehem. I&apos;ll get to this in a minute.</description>
         <link>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/111228819-secrets-from-a-country-that-do.htm</link>
         <guid>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/111228819-secrets-from-a-country-that-do.htm</guid>
         <author>George Smith</author>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">General Interest</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">National Security</category>
         
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Cold War</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">goodbye to all that</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">HEXAGON</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">history that no longer matters</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">National Reconnaissance Office</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">NRO</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">spy satellites</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">the national anthem</category>
         
         <pubDate>Wed, 28 Dec 2011 12:15:20 -0500</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>Drones over paupers: An Empire Merry Christmas</title>
         <description><![CDATA[Competing for top ranking in this year's long list of fatuous end-of-year news pieces notable only for their talent at bleak unintentional hilarity: <em>Overstretched U.S. drone pilots face stress risk.</em> In this holiday season of mass unemployment and homeless protesters being shoveled out of the cities by police, <em>drone pilots are having a hard time emotionally. </em>]]></description>
         <link>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/111223818-drones-over-paupers-an-empire.htm</link>
         <guid>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/111223818-drones-over-paupers-an-empire.htm</guid>
         <author>George Smith</author>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Aircraft</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">General Interest</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">National Security</category>
         
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">bothersome</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">clinical distress</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">drone</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">humming</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">inadequate staffing</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Iran</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">RQ-170 Sentinel</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">the national anthem</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">top music</category>
         
         <pubDate>Fri, 23 Dec 2011 11:46:34 -0500</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>The Year of the Arab Spring</title>
         <description><![CDATA[It has been a year since Mohammed Bouazizi set himself on fire to protest his treatment by a corrupt and abusive policewoman in Cite Bousaid in Tunisia. In that year, the Middle East and North Africa has seen revolution, rebellion, repression, and reform. What has changed? How did it happen? What's next? And what does it mean, for America and for the world?  


It's easiest to say what has changed: Populations in the region have gone from being "objects" to "actors" in their own history. From the Tunisians who discovered that their passion and mass peaceful protests could topple a supposedly impregnable regime, to the courageous Syrians who defy bloody repression even now, the "Arab Spring" at its core is seen in a change in popular attitudes. Arabs emphasize the importance of "dignity," or a rejection of the "humiliations" of their treatment by authoritarian regimes.  Just the thought of self-determination is revolutionary, as such ideas have been at other times in history.  


Egyptian and Tunisian uprisings were called the Facebook or Twitter revolutions, and these tools undoubtedly made it easier to mobilize social networks quickly for protest.  But older technologies likely played an even bigger part in the transmission process:  Al Jazeera and other Arab language satellite TV channels conveyed emotions of the crowds in real time.  Text messages through ubiquitous (and anonymous) pay-as-you-go cellphones reached thousands in minutes.  In Syria and Yemen, cellphone cameras -- coupled to You Tube -- ensured the sights and sounds of repression were seen despite efforts of governments to prevent it.


The Arab Spring demonstrated that leaderless revolutions are difficult to repress or co-opt.  Unfortunately, it is also true that leaderless revolts find it difficult to make transition to authority, as we now are seeing in Libya and Egypt. For all the commonalities in spirit, the Arab Spring unfolded in distinct national ways.  And now, the region's future will depend on how countries such as Egypt build new governments, and the policies these governments pursue.   


Where revolts have succeeded (Tunisia, Egypt, Libya) what comes next is the hard work of building more democratic and more responsive states. Coming struggles will be over constitutions and elections. Diversity of interests and complicated decisions will undercut Arab Spring zeal.  Countries like Egypt also will struggle to find new sources of economic growth to meet the needs of youthful populations which are poorly trained for success in the global economy.   It may require public policy experimentation to find good solutions, and the first attempts of novice, unstable governments may well fail.


In Syria, bloodshed and repression will continue as the Assad regime hangs on, apparently determined to give no quarter and hopeful its neighbors will eventually relent on sanctions.  That is hardly viable over the long-term, but it appears Syrians and the Syrian economy will suffer badly before the regime cracks.  


What does it mean for the U.S. and the world? The Arab Spring was never primarily about America, even though its relationships with autocrats like Mubarak have been rightly scorned.  Nonetheless, the U.S. certainly will be affected.   Properly managed, democratic change provides an opportunity to "reboot" U.S. relationships and help these new regimes succeed in meeting their (empowered) populations' aspirations, which would benefit the wider world.  Alternatively, weak governments failing to meet expectations could resort to time-tested strategies of assigning blame to external villains, including Israel, the U.S., or the West in general.


There are specters of trouble ahead.  There are signs of rising sectarianism. Violence against Copts in Egypt, Sunni-Alawite-Kurdish tensions in Syria, Sunni-Shia rivalries in Bahrain, and the caldron of sectarian and tribal struggles in Yemen are evidence of the re-emergence of ancient suspicions at a time of rapid change. In Libya, regional and tribal rivalries must be reconciled in order to construct a viable state. In Egypt, the military, which seemed to be a hero of Tahrir Square for pushing Mubarak aside, of late has been reluctant to concede power.   


While the West wants to help transitions succeed, its financial crises mean there can't be a big wave of new assistance, such as that which helped the Central Europeans or Balkan countries make it through their transitions. This may not be a bad thing, as it will require assistance to be focused on areas where it can do the most good.  We will need to learn how to structure security assistance and rule of law training in ways that help, rather than hinder, democratic transitions.  Israel will need to re-think its relationships with its neighbors.  And we need to hold our nerve if Islamists win the right to form a government in Egypt.  Power may engender responsibility, and the Egyptians deserve to have the leaders they select. 


It has been an extraordinary year for the region.  In the last 30 years similar waves of democratic change largely succeeded in establishing stable democratic governments in Latin America, Asia, and Africa.  There are reasons for optimism on this score for the Middle East, but it will not be easy, or without reversals and bloodshed.  


<em>Charles Ries is Director of the Center for Middle East Public Policy at the RAND Corporation, a nonprofit institution that improves policy and decision-making through research and analysis, and former U.S. Coordinator for Economic Transition in Iraq. </em>
               
]]></description>
         <link>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/111220817-the-year-of-the-arab-spring.htm</link>
         <guid>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/111220817-the-year-of-the-arab-spring.htm</guid>
         <author>Charles Ries</author>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">General Interest</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Syria</category>
         
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Africa</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Arab Spring</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Egypt</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Middle East</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">protest</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">revolution</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Social Networking</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Tunisia</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Yemen</category>
         
         <pubDate>Tue, 20 Dec 2011 15:36:58 -0500</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>Newt, chieftain of the Cult of Electromagnetic Pulse Crazy</title>
         <description>Yesterday William Broad of the New York Times put Newt Gingrich&apos;s role as one of the chieftains of the Cult of Electromagnetic Pulse Crazy onto the front page of that high button newspaper. The piece was mildly critical but such things always give the story of electromagnetic pulse doom more legs by creating the impression there&apos;s a debate worth considering between those with sense and the regular bringers of loads of rubbish.</description>
         <link>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/111213816-newt-chieftain-of-the-cult-of.htm</link>
         <guid>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/111213816-newt-chieftain-of-the-cult-of.htm</guid>
         <author>George Smith</author>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">General Interest</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">History</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Iran</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">National Security</category>
         
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">apocalypse now</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">ballistic missile defense</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">bug-eyed crazies</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">electromagnetic pulse bomb</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">EMP</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Iran</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Newt Gingrich</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">paranoia</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">The Man Who Shot Liberty Valance</category>
         
         <pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2011 12:14:24 -0500</pubDate>
      </item>
      
      <item>
         <title>Helping Afghans Build Afghanistan</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p>The military drawddown now in progress is both inevitable and necessary. The costs in blood and resources are simply unsustainable, while it is widely recognized that no military solution is plausible. </p>]]></description>
         <link>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/111212815-helping-afghans-build-afghanis.htm</link>
         <guid>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/111212815-helping-afghans-build-afghanis.htm</guid>
         <author>Ed Corcoran</author>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Afghanistan</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">National Security</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Politics</category>
         
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Afghan development</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Afghan economic strategy</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Afghanistan objectives</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Afghanistan strategy</category>
         
         <pubDate>Mon, 12 Dec 2011 09:55:16 -0500</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>Killer robots and bombs trump the meat</title>
         <description>Wasn&apos;t yesterday&apos;s feast great? Have General Atomics, Northrop Grumman, Lockheed Martin, Boeing and General Dynamics Land Systems been good to you this year? They didn&apos;t let you go hungry. Nope, no lining up at the welfare center to present the monthly budget in applying for the supplemental nutrition program for arms manufacturers!  </description>
         <link>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/111125814-killer-robots-and-bombs-trump.htm</link>
         <guid>http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/111125814-killer-robots-and-bombs-trump.htm</guid>
         <author>George Smith</author>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">General Interest</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Land Systems</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">National Security</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Support the Troops</category>
         
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">corporate bloodsuckers</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">food stamps</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">General Atomics</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">hunger</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">killer robots over meat</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Lockheed Martin</category>
         
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Northrop Grumman</category>
         
         <pubDate>Fri, 25 Nov 2011 10:44:05 -0500</pubDate>
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